It's often the small pieces of land,where the biggest fights are. If Russia can keep Avdeevka and keep momentum going we may see Odessa fall in time. That would not end the war. Poland will be pushed into the fight. The same goes for Moldova and Romania. Maybe Trastintia will actually become recognized as a country.
Initially, Russia will likely move 10km along the waterways to the west and north-west of Avdeevka. I expect the Ukrainians will create a new defensive line there. Secondly, Russia will take the small villages west of Bakhmut on the way to Chavis Yar, a fortified hill and major strategic point for the Ukrainians. The latter battle will be difficult. The path from Lyman in the north will be more difficult, but the three combined would finalise control of the Donbas.
During this, Russia still needs to create a buffer zone between its city of Belgorod and Kharkiv.
Odessa would be game over but a helluva lot of work is needed. Crossing the Dnieper River is a herculean task which is why Russia may move along the east bank, northwards, to the cities. But as that would be another mammoth task, they first need to get Ukraine to move soldiers from there to the places I mentioned in the beginning of this para.
It's often the small pieces of land,where the biggest fights are. If Russia can keep Avdeevka and keep momentum going we may see Odessa fall in time. That would not end the war. Poland will be pushed into the fight. The same goes for Moldova and Romania. Maybe Trastintia will actually become recognized as a country.
Initially, Russia will likely move 10km along the waterways to the west and north-west of Avdeevka. I expect the Ukrainians will create a new defensive line there. Secondly, Russia will take the small villages west of Bakhmut on the way to Chavis Yar, a fortified hill and major strategic point for the Ukrainians. The latter battle will be difficult. The path from Lyman in the north will be more difficult, but the three combined would finalise control of the Donbas.
During this, Russia still needs to create a buffer zone between its city of Belgorod and Kharkiv.
Odessa would be game over but a helluva lot of work is needed. Crossing the Dnieper River is a herculean task which is why Russia may move along the east bank, northwards, to the cities. But as that would be another mammoth task, they first need to get Ukraine to move soldiers from there to the places I mentioned in the beginning of this para.
Poor Ukraine, so many dead for nothing in essence. Pawns in a terrible game.
I think about that a lot, subjectively, a gnawing in my tummy.