38 Comments
Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

I know a nun in Ukrainian convent who told in me in 2022 that a reputable seer (staryets) prophesied that this war will last 3 years and 3 months. So, now we can watch and see how it goes.

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That would be remarkable, even more so that the USA are bound by fate (and not responsibility and their punishment).

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It could be right. About another year to go which sounds realistic.

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Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

Thanks for asking my opinion. I don't know much, but would've liked to say, Donetsk, Lugansk, Odessa and Transnistria' as a response to your second question; Of course, securing Donetsk and Lugansk is probably already understood by those looking ahead to the rest of the story, so that would've been and inclusive response. On the other hand, everyone involved is tired of the conflict, and they might settle for less, you never know.

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Feb 28·edited Feb 28Author

Luhansk is almost under Russian control.

Donetsk requires a lot more, such as the cities of Lyman, Kramatorsk and Slovyansk. The current battle for the hill town of Chasiv Yar will be strategic towards that end.

And then there would still need to be a buffer zone. That applies to the entire Russian border, emphasised by the New York Times article about CIA bases there. And without Odessa, Crimea will always be vulnerable. Without Crimea as its main sea port, it would be hard to stop the USA's intention to control the Black Sea (and thus the Caucuses). Not to mention that thousands of Russian troops stranded in Transnistria.

It's predictable that there was going to be a war, and that the USA would screw Ukraine, but the course of war is, of course, unpredictable. On one hand, Russia would want compensation (territory) for the soldiers its lost, but if politics blows on another wind, it could become practical to stop sooner than later.

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Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

If Russia "settles for less" now, they might need to repeat the whole thing in future years. The West will continue to stuff whatever left of Ukraine with weaponry. Sad and cruel but that's reality.

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Yes.

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Putin is not a fool and from what I have read never intended to take all of Ukraine. The plan was to protect the areas with the Russian speakers who were being attacked and persecuted. He also stated he wanted the Nazis gone so perhaps the war will not end until the Government falls, Zelensky is gone and the fascists with him.

This is a good site if you have not already found it in terms of insights.

https://www.moonofalabama.org/

I could be wrong but my sense is the articles and comments come in the main from retired or anonymous military and spooks. Having tracked it for some time I have been impressed with the general level of accuracy based on both knowledge and common sense.

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Feb 28·edited Feb 28Author

Moon of Alabama is a terrific site, and included at https://mikehampton.substack.com/p/honest-media-guide

Russia's goals have changed. Initially, Russia just wanted the Donbas to be protected by Ukrainian law. Then went into protect them, and simultaneously put pressure on Kiev to try force a peace which it would have had if Bojo hadn't fucked it up. Now Russia's in 4 provinces, and has to, at minimum, control them and create a buffer there and in the east (to protect Belgorod etc.).

We don't know how many dead soldiers there are - divided between Russians and ex-Ukrainians - but the former will take its toll on political opinion. Russia has a much larger NATO border to allocate troops to (Sweden and Finland). Many factors could come into play.

But I don't see Russia stopping until it feels more secure than it did before the war. And the longer the war, the more compensation will be wanted.

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I thought you would know about MOA. And yes, all that you say makes a lot of sense. And as history shows, when the first shot is fired the plan goes out of the window. Common sense says that the Russians have one chance to protect their borders from the Ukrainians and they will make full use of it.

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The greater context is Russia and China jockeying for higher positions in the world order, and thus we may be unaware how Ukraine fully fits into that, beyond the weakening of the EU.

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"Putin is not a fool and from what I have read never intended to take all of Ukraine."

Agreed. That's why I never included it as a poll option.

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Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

Yes, I read MoA and most are military current or retired. Good site

Someone recommended this video in some chat, and it's something else and totally unexpected "West pushed me" -

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WE6mnPmztoQ

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Hitler was a dick of unforgivable actions, but I understand Germany wanting to get out from under foreign bankers. Great link - thanks. I read that the actor who played Hitler in that amazing moving, 'Downfall', used this recording as his coach.

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Well the victors write the history. The Americans pushed the Japanese into Pearl Harbour and probably knew what they were doing.

The unofficial history of WWII and the Nazis makes it very clear it was not simply good guys, bad guys but who wants nuance?

Hitler had some sensible ideas, i.e. banning vivisection and encouraging health, non-smoking, moderation with alcohol etc. No-one gets it all wrong.

People also do not understand the fear, indeed terror, in much of Europe after the Bolshevik Revolution, created and led by Jews which no doubt underpinned the attitudes toward and fear of Jews by the Germans. That is not to condone but merely to seek to explain. Nothing happens in a vacuum.

And there were German soldiers and officers who were Jews so it was never as absolute as the Zionists have sold it. Another interesting fact is that neither Churchill, Roosveldt or major American military leaders wrote in their memoirs about gas ovens. You would think if it was true they would. You would think if they had seen them they would. The only reason not to talk about it was if it was not sourced in facts and they would look like idiots later when it was debunked.

While Hitler and the Germans did some horrific things they were not the first, not the worst and not the last. Never let facts get in the way of propaganda. The Germans have been the scapegoat for evil because it was useful for the Zionists/Israelis/Jews to milk it for all it was worth. The Japanese did some horrific things to the Chinese and their prisoners, but no-one cared and of course the Chinese did not have a Zionist propaganda machine behind them.

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Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

You probably are unaware that the moment Russia began to win in WWI, Lenin and his cadre, who were illegally/undocumented living in Western Europe, Germany dispatched him in a sealed train carriage, to pass unhindered to Russia to start the revolution.

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I was unaware.

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If you are interested in the other side of the history this site is worthwhile. Unz is banned on much social media and while he does at times veer into the realm of dislike of Jews intensely, i.e. being prejudiced, his material is also very well sourced and sensible. It is useful to have the bigger picture on all wars. The Germans certainly committed many atrocities but so did the British, Americans and Allies. The Americans never stopped committing atrocities and the British have stuck with them playing the same deadly game as we see today in Palestine.

Although as John Mearsheimer said, you are either an ally to the US and do exactly what you are told or you are an enemy. I think he also quipped, or someone did that it was better to be an enemy of the US than a friend.

https://www.unz.com/topic/hitler/

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Hitler killed millions of Jews. I don't need an exact figure to change my feelings. And my horror for the Jews will not vanish because of my horror at what Zionism is doing to Palestinians. Horror is horror.

Regarding gas ovens, 'The Zone of Interest' is an excellent new movie about the banality of evil in a tea garden next door to Auschwitz - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DmawoNe9Vk

Once Germany was defeated, victorious countries kept killing Gypsies, Jews and others they considered undesirable. The war never ended when the West told us they won. Maybe it never ended (Korea, Vietnam, Cambodia, Angola, Yugoslavia, Georgia, Ukraine...).

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Hitler was responsible for the deaths of tens of millions mostly Christians and Muslims who were Slavs, Romanies, Poles and others deemed subhuman. Stalin for probably 60 million Russians. Horror is horror, I agree. But facts are also facts.

The figure of 6 million was used and is still used to justify the lie that Jews need their own State to be safe. This completely ignores the fact most Jews do not live in Israel, never did and never will.

I remain unconvinced about the 6 million figure for Jewish deaths given the fact the Zionists were citing this figure for Jews in Europe dying from the 1890's onwards if there was not support for its plans to set up a colony in Palestine. I am not sure I posted this to you before but a fellow South African has set up an interesting site collating the many times this figure was used between 1900 onwards.

https://boervolkblog.wordpress.com/2018/04/01/the-200-tales-of-six-million-jews/

However, 600,000 would be too many. I remember reading some years ago, long disappeared I am sure, something on census counts for Jews in 1939 and 1949, in Europe, where the missing numbers amounted to about 350,000.

And in truth what I find even more horrifying than 6 million dead Jews in WWII if that is the correct figure, is Jews doing the same things to Christians and Muslims in Palestine whom they call subhuman. There is horror and there is horror and it is not actually about numbers.

There was also some interesting material written in the 1950's by engineers, long disappeared I am sure, saying how the concept of gas ovens was not scientifically feasible. They stated that such an oven would kill people for miles around and if the chemical cited was used, the bodies would kill anyone who touched them for weeks after. But since questions are not allowed on the subject, information is scarce.

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Feb 28·edited Feb 28Author

I have used the bigger deaths of Russians as an example many times too. I will not lose context.

I am aware of the religious or almost religious use of the 6 million figure, and visited that link when it was posted last week. It's interesting as a propaganda issue (I'm interested in all manipulation) but, as said, a lesser figure wouldn't change the pain I felt for the victims, or my distaste for that German painter of his utopia.

Again, I don't want to be distracted. And this post was meant to be something simpler i.e., a poll about the direction of the Ukraine war, and a reminder that Transnistria is in the news this week because of their Congress today.

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There is no need to be distracted but I would also plant the thought that it is worth researching genetics and eugenics in the early 20th century in order to understand that many of the views held by Germans were commonly held throughout the Western world and at times put into practice, particularly in the US and Canada.

The fact so many Nazis were collected up and quietly transported to the US because of their perceived usefulness, scientific brilliance, etc., raises questions as to how distasteful (in the times) their views were and their plans for a Utopia of perfect humans.

The Germans were hardly unique in their wish, desire, plan for a Utopian, i.e. better world with better, if not perfect humans, it is just that they were foolish enough to target one particular group, one among many of course, but one which would make them an eternal scapegoat because of it.

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If you are interested in the other side of the history this site is worthwhile. Unz is banned on much social media and while he does at times veer into the realm of dislike of Jews intensely, i.e. being prejudiced, his material is also very well sourced and sensible. It is useful to have the bigger picture on all wars. The Germans certainly committed many atrocities but so did the British, Americans and Allies. The Americans never stopped committing atrocities and the British have stuck with them playing the same deadly game as we see today in Palestine.

Although as John Mearsheimer said, you are either an ally to the US and do exactly what you are told or you are an enemy. I think he also quipped, or someone did that it was better to be an enemy of the US than a friend.

https://www.unz.com/topic/hitler/

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Thanks but I'm trying, and sometimes failing, not to be distracted. It's hell to not obsess daily on Gaza, for example, but I must try focus on a few goals.

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As it is, for relevance, I was distracted by two Mearsheimer interviews this week.

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Sorry, I meant that for Angelina.

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Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

Have a nice time off, Mike!

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Fuck me!

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Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

I'm sure some nice girls would be happy to. 😃 😀 😄

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I'm a 'consummate' voyeur on rare days out. I don't need more than that. I want to stay dedicated to politics until I leave the internet.

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From 7 posts in 2 days to 2 posts in 4 days is like a runaway train reaching a hill. Anyways, these are quickies and not articles and I successfully fought with myself to not say more about Aaron Bushnell. I got to see a doctor, and a doctor for someone else, and today is to help another get their pension. And each trip meant I saw the sky, spoke trivialities and got smiles from nice strangers, and went for a walk somewhere more than from my laptop to the kettle :)

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Feb 28Liked by Mike Hampton

Militarily, this war is near over, with an impending implosion of the Ukrainian army.

But, the West has lots of exposure here, so I expect some last-ditch action on the part of bad actors to push the conflict into a different form/phase. Remember when they were setting up a false-flag Russian attack on a nuclear power plant?

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Sadly, I feel and expect the same. We're in the death throes of an American zombie movie.

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