"The sovereignty and territorial integrity of Syria must be respected… The future and destiny of Syria should be determined by the Syrian people themselves.” - China Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Mao Ning
Everyone wants a piece of the pie that’s Syria, but let’s not be geopolitically jaded into forgetting that Syrians want Syria most of all.
After so much war, Syria needs help rebuilding but its friends are also its enemies i.e., the USA backstabbed it many times, and Moslems are not going to be happy that the USA’s ally, Israel, is seizing territory that it has good chance to hold onto because it has American weapons. I’m also sure that they’ve watched the most damning video of US foreign policy (as seen below).
Turkey is in excellent position to establish a political and economic foothold but has to be wary of appearing as the Ottoman Empire. It’s deck of cards is loaded with Kurds - it wants them gone, and the new Syrian government needs its oil which the Kurds have because American soldiers are protecting it.
The Kurds are tragedy. There are countries with population’s less than a city elsewhere, yet this tribe of 30 million is officially stateless yet has made ‘Kurdistan’, which straddles several countries, work better than those countries.
“We know that this [ISIL/Daesh] was growing, we were watching, we saw that Daesh was growing in strength, and we thought Assad was threatened… We thought, however, we could probably imagine that Assad might then negotiate, but instead of negotiating he got Putin to support him… The reason Russia came in is because ISIL was getting stronger. Daesh was threatening the possibility of going to Damascus at some point and that’s why Russia came in. Because they didn’t want a Daesh [ISIL] government...“ - Secretary of State John Kerry in 2016 admitting US let ISIL run wild
Federalism is a practical path forward.
So is stronger Sino-Syrian relations. China would be the most logical partner. Sure, it worked with Assad but would work with anyone, is already an important trade partner, and has the ability to construct quickly. Extra motivation is that it doesn’t want Syria to continue being a training ground for Uyghur rebels. However, it would require the locals to ensure stability first.
We may rant and rave about geopolitics, and know that sometimes dictatorship kills less people than democracy, but Assad was a dick, and he’s gone. Let’s not miss him, allow hungry people to burn his sports cars, and wish Syria success (which is defined as “the opposite of infighting”).
NEWS
The fall of Syria heralds an existential crisis for Hezbollah and more pain for Gaza
Syrian Refugees: Where and What of Over 11 Million Who Have Fled?
After “conquering” Damascus, Erdogan turns his eye to the Kurds
Biden: “God bless America. And God protect our troops.” [cough]
NBC News Smears Tulsi Gabbard Yet Again, But Syria Is On Our Side Now, Right?
China urges respect for Syria's sovereignty amid Israeli attacks
Russia, Iran are as involved in crimes in Syria as US is in Israel's crimes in Gaza
Kremlin: Armed Groups Have Guaranteed the Security of Russian Bases in Syria
I am much more pessimistic about the situation in Syria. Over the past two days there have been extensive military actions by Israel, United States, Turkey, Kurds and Russia. Syria is sliding into a pit like Yugoslavia after President Tito's death. Factions will be at war within Syria. The Islamist groups that have taken power are already began fighting. There was never any long term unity among the groups. Israel is establishing a launching pad for military actions against Iran. None of Russia's military bases and naval port have been touched. Turkey is still launching military raids against the Kurds. United States is supporting Israeli military actions in Syria and have launched their own raids against ISIS positions. The so-called liberalism of the new government has already begun to collapse with Sharia law actions against women have begun. Requirements to wear hijabs and in some areas burkas are being mandated despite less then three days proclaiming a new era of freedom for women. Syria is becoming a playground for the machinations of outside powers which is what destroyed Yugoslavia.
The Syrian people just can't catch a break😞